Project Description


Weather conditions clearly affect the growing environment of crops: cold waves, droughts, floods, late frosts can have a strong and negative effect on agricultural land. We provide short-term (3-5 days) and longer-term (weeks to seasonal) weather forecasts to help the sector prepare for unexpected conditions.

Info and contacts
The CNR Institute of Biometeorology developed 3 different models and approaches for crop yield and forecast tuned to the leading durum wheat (Triticum durum or Triticum turgidum ssp. durum) producing countries.


The Three Models

  • a model for the Italian durum wheat area, based on weather network monitoring and scenario analysis for yield, quality and diseases control forecast;
  • a model for the whole Mediterranean Area based on weather data and EO for yield and crop surface area forecast;
  • a model for US-Canada based on weather data and EO for yield and crop surface area forecast.

Capitanatana Durum Wheat Yield and Surface 2013 – DW Surface 233400 ha / DW production 842807.4 t


(click the image to enlarge)

Cold wave France, February 2012

Cold wave France, February 2012


Drought Morocco: March 2012

Analysis of the effect on durum wheat areas of the cold wave in the first 20 days of February. The effect was evaluated as loss of photosynthetic capacity for each single pixel identified with remote sensing products.

Map of the loss of photosynthetic capacity due to the cold wave in the first 20 days of February.

Analysis of soil water content in Morocco. Values higher than 0 indicate optimal soil water content. Negative values indicate conditions of soil water deficit. A value of -1 is the minimum threshold at which roots can uptake water from the soil.

Map of the drought conditions. The map is produced from the analysis of remote sensing indexes.


The service is carried out in the framework of the research activities of the Institute of Biometeorology (IBIMET) – National Research Council (CNR) and BARILLA G. e R. FRATELLI – SpA. IBIMET CNR is not responsible for any damage deriving from the use of these products. The diffusion and use of the information contained on this site are subjected to the approval of IBIMET CNR.